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Backtests

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Trading infrastructure Active 2025

Go Backtester

A custom backtesting engine built for strategies that stopped fitting neatly inside off-the-shelf Python frameworks.

Go Trading Backtests Data Analysis

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Four equity curves from harmonic-pattern backtests on ES 15m, 2020-2024: Gartley climbs to $10.8k on 16 trades, Bat hovers near the start line on 17 trades, Butterfly climbs to $11.8k on 29 trades, Crab loses to $8.7k on 7 trades.

Backtesting the four classical harmonic patterns

May 30, 2026

Gartley, Bat, Butterfly, Crab on ES from 2020 to 2024. One looked tradeable; the cross-instrument check killed the universal claim.

Four equity curves from candlestick-pattern backtests on NQ daily bars, 2020-2024: Bullish Harami climbing to $190k, Bullish Engulfing collapsing to $50k, Piercing Line climbing to $131k on five trades, Bearish Harami sliding to $74k.

I backtested six classical candlestick patterns. One held up.

May 29, 2026

Six candlestick patterns tested on NQ from 2020 to 2024. One held up. Two failed cleanly. One fired too rarely. Two were NQ-only artifacts.

NQ Daily 50/200 MA crossover equity curve, 2015-2024. Flat for years, then a sharp climb from $100k to $428k.

Backtesting Moving Average Crossover across four setups

May 26, 2026

I tested moving-average crossover on NQ 1H, ES 1H, GC 1H, and the daily 50/200 golden cross. Three of four told a different story.

Four equity curves from Pattern Rotation backtests, side by side: NQ 1H, ES 1H, NQ Daily, and GC 1H, 2020-2024.

Backtesting Pattern Rotation strategy with a breakout filter across four setups

May 3, 2026

I ran the same regime-filtered breakout on four configurations. Three broke in different ways. Here is what that taught me about strategy fit.

Three equity curves stacked vertically: NQ Daily climbs steadily to $312k, NQ 1H climbs to $200k after a deep first-year drawdown, GC 1H drifts down from $130k to $80k.

Backtesting Breakout Continuation strategy across NQ, Gold, and a Daily timeframe

Apr 30, 2026

I ran a plain Donchian-channel breakout on NQ 1H, NQ Daily, and Gold 1H. One worked, one was lukewarm, one lost money.

Backtesting Random Trading Signals: From Chaos to Code

Aug 11, 2025

A backtest of random trading signals on NQ futures - from seed 42 experiments to massive 10,000-generator ensembles. Explore probability patterns, profit curves, and what happens when chaos meets code.

Trader who is winning too often, but making less and losing more - starts to doubt trading

The Trader's Accuracy Trap: Why Winning Too Often Can Break You

Jul 17, 2025

Many traders chase high win rates, but this can backfire on them. Learn why low reward-to-risk setups can break you, even if you’re often right.

Simple strategy backtested using ChatGPT

How to Backtest a Simple Trading Strategy Using ChatGPT

Jun 23, 2025

I used ChatGPT to backtest an EMA + ATR system with stop-loss, slippage, commissions, take-profit, and real P&L tracking.

Candlestick chart with buy/sell signals and backtesting code

The Backtester’s Edge: How Code and AI Transform Your Strategy Game

Jun 22, 2025

Manual backtests build feel, but code (or AI tools) helps you test faster and uncover deeper insights.