Backtesting the four classical harmonic patterns
May 30, 2026
Gartley, Bat, Butterfly, Crab on ES from 2020 to 2024. One looked tradeable; the cross-instrument check killed the universal claim.
Tags / Quant
Quant
I backtested six classical candlestick patterns. One held up.
May 29, 2026
Six candlestick patterns tested on NQ from 2020 to 2024. One held up. Two failed cleanly. One fired too rarely. Two were NQ-only artifacts.
Backtesting Moving Average Crossover across four setups
May 26, 2026
I tested moving-average crossover on NQ 1H, ES 1H, GC 1H, and the daily 50/200 golden cross. Three of four told a different story.
Backtesting Pattern Rotation strategy with a breakout filter across four setups
May 3, 2026
I ran the same regime-filtered breakout on four configurations. Three broke in different ways. Here is what that taught me about strategy fit.
Backtesting Breakout Continuation strategy across NQ, Gold, and a Daily timeframe
Apr 30, 2026
I ran a plain Donchian-channel breakout on NQ 1H, NQ Daily, and Gold 1H. One worked, one was lukewarm, one lost money.
Backtesting Random Trading Signals: From Chaos to Code
Aug 11, 2025
A backtest of random trading signals on NQ futures - from seed 42 experiments to massive 10,000-generator ensembles. Explore probability patterns, profit curves, and what happens when chaos meets code.
Gold-Silver Ratio: A Market Thermometer for Fear and Confidence
Apr 14, 2025
Explore how the Gold-Silver Ratio reflects market psychology, economic sentiment, and its relevance to traders navigating uncertain times.